Proposed riding 7 of 91

Calgary-Cross

Under the Independent Advisory Panel's proposed map, now before the Legislature. All results replay the 2023 election on these boundaries.

Votes here count 10% less than the average Alberta vote. On the 2023 vote it is about as competitive as the Commission's Calgary-Cross. About 59% of its residents voted in a 2023 riding the UCP won.

59,491
people (panel's estimate), +11% vs the average riding of 53,722
NDP +5.8
2023 votes on these boundaries (NDP 52.9% of the UCP+NDP vote)
NDP
if Alberta split 50/50. It changes hands when the UCP's province-wide share is above 57.3%
16 km²
area

How much a vote here counts

Each MLA represents a group of people. In a riding with fewer people than average, each vote carries more weight. On the panel's map, a vote here counts 0.90× the average: less than in 81 of the other 90 ridings.

2023 election map (where its residents voted in 2023)
1.01×
Commission's map (for the same residents)
0.92×
Panel's map
0.90×

The black tick marks the average (1.00×). Weight = average riding population ÷ this riding's population, using current population estimates: the panel's and the Commission's own figures, and for the 2023 ridings, 2021 census counts scaled to the same estimates. For the first two maps it is averaged over this riding's current residents. Older ridings that have grown a lot since they were drawn show low weights; that imbalance is one reason ridings are redrawn.

What changes for UCP and NDP voters

The same 2023 ballots, counted three ways: in the riding most of these residents voted in, in the closest Commission riding, and in this riding.

UCP voters

2023 riding
(mostly Calgary-Cross)		Commission
(mostly Calgary-Cross)		Panel
Result on 2023 votesWinsLosesLoses
Share of the UCP+NDP vote52%47%47%
Votes that didn't affect the result3%100%100%
Province-wide vote needed to win here53%57%57%

NDP voters

2023 riding
(mostly Calgary-Cross)		Commission
(mostly Calgary-Cross)		Panel
Result on 2023 votesLosesWinsWins
Share of the UCP+NDP vote48%53%53%
Votes that didn't affect the result100%6%5%
Province-wide vote needed to win here47%43%43%

Voters for other parties and independents win this seat on none of the three maps. "Province-wide vote needed" is the party's share of the UCP+NDP vote across Alberta at which it would take this seat, assuming every riding moves by the same amount.

How competitive is it?

2023 election mapUCP +3.5competitive
Commission's mapNDP +5.8leaning
Panel's mapNDP +5.8leaning
40%45%50%55%60%65%below this line the NDP wins; above it the UCP202330%40%50%60%UCP share of the UCP+NDP vote across Alberta↑ UCP share in this riding
Each line shows how the riding would vote as Alberta's overall vote moves (grey: the 2023 riding most residents voted in; green: the closest Commission riding; purple: this riding). Dots mark where each would change hands.

City, town or country?

Cities 100% (Calgary) · Towns and villages 0% · Rural areas and First Nations 0%. Share of residents, 2021 census. Sherwood Park and Fort McMurray count as cities.

The boundary

The proposed boundary
Calgary-Bhullar-McCallCalgary-EastCalgary-Falconridge-ConrichCalgary-Klein Calgary-EastCalgary-Falconridge-ConrichCalgary-Klein
Coloured: Calgary-Cross, shaded by its 2023 replay result. Dashed lines: the ridings used in the 2023 election. Click a neighbouring riding's name to open its page.

Where its people come from

This riding is nearly the same as Calgary-Cross on the Commission's map.

From the 2023 election ridings
  • Calgary-Cross59%
  • Calgary-Falconridge41%
From the Commission's proposed ridings
  • Calgary-Cross100%

Shares of 2021 census population, measured from voting areas.

2023 votes on these boundaries

PartyVotesShare
UCP7,19745.5%
NDP8,08651.1%
All other candidates5403.4%

Every 2023 ballot (election day, advance, special and mobile), reassigned by voting area to the proposed boundaries. These are estimates, not results from an actual election in this riding.

About these numbers